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Historical Analysis of the Battle of Little Bighorn Utilizing the Joint Conflict and Tactical Simulation ...

Storming Media, 2004

average customer review:based on 2 reviews
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Amazing Approach to Historical Analysis

The mathematical approach taken to resolve weapons ballistics and probability of hit/ kill for the simulation are incredible. Applying the simulation to the actual battlefield with 100,000 elevation data points adds great value to the outcome of the simulations. Aside from the analytical approach; the read was insightful and exciting. The authors establish sound results, and leave room for future work to answer commonly asked "what if" questions.


Outstanding analysis based on a thorough review of fact available.

The authors' do a magnificent job of comparing and contrasting the conflicting theories of three notable historians. This is followed by a detailed analysis of the various outcomes when each of the three theories is modeled in a comprehensive computer simulation, a non-trivial task by anyone's standard. Their analysis also documents many of the limitations inherent in attempts to translate historical events into mathematical equations. Highly recommended reading, but then again, my opinion may be slightly predjudiced.


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This is a NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA report procured by the Pentagon and made available for public release. It has been reproduced in the best form available to the Pentagon. It is not spiral-bound, but rather assembled with Velobinding in a soft, white linen cover. The Storming Media report number is A389424. The abstract provided by the Pentagon follows: The purpose of this thesis is to determine which of three competing theories of what occurred at the Battle of Little Bighorn is the most plausible by utilizing the Joint Conflict and Tactical Simulation (JCATS) program developed by Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. The theories compared are those of John S. Gray, Stephen E. Ambrose, and Richard A. Fox. Jr. There are many practical gains that JCATS can provide today's military with regard to training and educating soldiers for future conflicts. JCATS can be used to train soldiers in planning and executing missions in ways not feasible with conventional field training exercises utilizing live bodies and real vehicles. It also is increasingly being used for actual mission planning. However, very little has been done using JCATS to war-game past operations. There are two points to be gained by using JCATS to model a historical battle, such as the Battle of Little Bighorn. First, it validates the ability of JCATS to accurately model actual historical scenarios while identifying many of the specific limitations of the program. If the military is going to use computer simulations such as JCATS in lieu of field training exercises to train soldiers, it must first be determined if the program produces realistic results. Modeling an actual battle and comparing the results of the program with what actually occurred is one means of doing so. Second, modeling historical battles, particularly defeats, may assist in discovering lessons learned.


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